理解降水概率 Understanding Precipitation Probability lǐjiě jiàngshuǐ gǎilǜ

Dialogues

Dialogues 1

中文

老王：今天天气预报说降水概率是80%，看来要下雨了。
小李：是啊，80%的概率挺高的，最好带伞。
老王：嗯，保险起见还是带把伞吧，万一真的下大雨呢？
小李：对，这概率看着高，咱可别大意。
老王：对了，这降水概率是怎么算出来的呢？
小李：我听说用各种气象数据模型计算的，挺复杂的。

拼音

lǎo wáng: jīntiān tiānqì yùbào shuō jiàngshuǐ gǎilǜ shì 80%, kàn lái yào xià yǔ le.
xiǎo lǐ: shì a, 80% de gǎilǜ tǐng gāo de, zuì hǎo dài sǎn.
lǎo wáng: ēn, bǎoxiǎn qǐjiàn háishì dài bǎ sǎn ba, wàn yī zhēn de xià dà yǔ ne?
xiǎo lǐ: duì, zhè gǎilǜ kànzhe gāo, zán kě bié dàyì.
lǎo wáng: duì le, zhè jiàngshuǐ gǎilǜ shì zěnme suàn chū lái de ne?
xiǎo lǐ: wǒ tīng shuō yòng gè zhǒng qìxiàng shùjù móxíng jìsuàn de, tǐng fùzá de.

English

Lao Wang: Today's weather forecast says there's an 80% chance of precipitation, looks like it's going to rain.
Xiao Li: Yeah, 80% is pretty high, you'd better bring an umbrella.
Lao Wang: Mm, it's better to be safe than sorry, let's bring an umbrella, just in case it really pours.
Xiao Li: Right, with such a high probability, let's not take any chances.
Lao Wang: By the way, how is this precipitation probability calculated?
Xiao Li: I heard it's calculated using various meteorological data models, it's quite complex.

Common Phrases

降水概率

jiàngshuǐ gǎilǜ

precipitation probability

Cultural Background

中文

在中国，人们通常会根据降水概率来决定是否带伞出行，80%以上的概率一般都会带伞。

拼音

zài zhōngguó, rénmen tōngcháng huì gēnjù jiàngshuǐ gǎilǜ lái juédìng shìfǒu dài sǎn chūxíng, 80% yǐshàng de gǎilǜ yībān dōu huì dài sǎn。

English

In China, people usually decide whether to bring an umbrella based on the precipitation probability. If it's above 80%, most people will bring an umbrella.

The concept of precipitation probability is commonly understood and used for practical decision-making in daily life in China.

The use of precipitation probability is widely prevalent across various age groups and social classes in China.

Advanced Expressions

中文

基于气象模型的降水概率预测

结合历史数据分析降水概率的可靠性

拼音

jīyú qìxiàng móxíng de jiàngshuǐ gǎilǜ yùcè

jiéhé lìshǐ shùjù fēnxī jiàngshuǐ gǎilǜ de kěkào xìng

English

Precipitation probability forecast based on meteorological models

Analyzing the reliability of precipitation probability forecast by combining historical data

Cultural Taboos

中文

没有特别的禁忌，但需要注意避免在正式场合使用过于口语化的表达。

拼音

méiyǒu tèbié de jìnbì, dàn xūyào zhùyì bìmiǎn zài zhèngshì chǎnghé shǐyòng guòyú kǒuyǔhuà de biǎodá。

English

There are no specific taboos, but it's important to avoid overly colloquial expressions in formal settings.

Key Points

中文

理解降水概率的关键在于理解其表示的含义，以及如何将概率信息应用于实际生活中的决策。不同的年龄和身份的人对降水概率的理解和应用可能有所不同。

拼音

lǐjiě jiàngshuǐ gǎilǜ de guānjiàn zàiyú lǐjiě qí biǎoshì de hán yì, yǐjí rúhé jiāng gǎilǜ xìnxī yìngyòng yú shíjì shēnghuó zhōng de juécè。bùtóng de niánlíng hé shēnfèn de rén duì jiàngshuǐ gǎilǜ de lǐjiě hé yìngyòng kěnéng yǒusuǒ bùtóng。

English

The key to understanding precipitation probability lies in understanding its meaning and how to apply probability information to real-life decision-making. People of different ages and social status may understand and apply precipitation probability differently.

Practice Tips

中文

多练习与天气相关的场景对话

尝试用不同的表达方式描述降水概率

注意区分降水概率和实际降水量

拼音

duō liànxí yǔ tiānqì xiāngguān de chǎngjǐng duìhuà

chángshì yòng bùtóng de biǎodá fāngshì miáoshù jiàngshuǐ gǎilǜ

zhùyì qufēn jiàngshuǐ gǎilǜ hé shíjì jiàngshuǐ liàng

English

Practice dialogues related to weather scenarios

Try using different ways to describe precipitation probability

Pay attention to the distinction between precipitation probability and actual rainfall amount